Heuristics Quiz:
1. Consider the letter "R" in the English language. Do you think that this letter occurs more often as the first letter of words (e.g., "rope") or more often as the third letter of words (e.g., "park")?
a. the first letter
b. the third letter
c. about equally often the first as the third letter
2. Which one of these do you think
causes more fatalities in the
a. accidental death
b. death from strokes
c. they cause about the same number of deaths
3. Suppose you flipped a fair coin 8 times. Which sequence is more likely to occur? (H = heads, T = tails)
a. HTTHTHHT
b. HHHHTTTT
c. both sequences are equally as likely
4. After observing the sequence TTTTTT, what is the probability that the next flip will be heads?
a. less that .5
b. .5
c. greater than .5