| To many of us, if not most, tax cuts
shimmer with the qualities of a panacea. After all, we have
been conditioned to instinctively view taxes in a simplistic,
sort of Manichean way: cuts are good, increases are bad. No
longer can Americans reconcile the fiscal reality of taxation
with their need for vital civic services. So nowadays, at
the mere articulation of the phrase “tax cuts,”
we heave a sigh of relief.
This sigh of relief is a reflex of which the Bush administration—and
the neocon Svengalis suspended above it—has been long
aware. And it is a reflex of which they have been long willing
to exploit. Last May, they exploited it, as Congress approved
Bush’s $350 billion tax cut plan by the slimmest of
margins. But the Republicans’ attempt to rewrite the
tax code scarcely deserved the narrow victory it eked out.
Why? In short, the plan is an immense sham, dressed up with
stirring (but hollow) rhetoric, buttressed by rickety partisan
economics that top economists wouldn’t touch with a
ten-foot pole. We will return to the critique in depth, but
not before appraising the economy prior to the arrival of
Bush fils on Pennsylvania Avenue, at the eve of the
century.
Recall first that Bush pere passed on to Clinton
a swollen deficit: 8% of the GDP. (Not to mention the worrisome
legacy of Reaganomics.) At his second term’s close,
Clinton had steered the budget safely out of the red, leaving
Bush fils a hefty surplus. On the other hand, he
inherited the beleaguered Social Security and Medicare systems.
On top of that: an economy on the wane, a stock market bubble
about to burst, and a government on a borrowing binge of $1
billion a day from abroad.
In other hands, the surplus might have been used to repair
our aging infrastructure, to bolster Medicare or Social Security,
to lessen the cost of prescription drugs, and so on. But the
surplus, to our lasting dismay, was not in other hands—it
was in Bush’s, in the Republicans’, and thus has
been utterly wiped out by tax cuts which Bush, like Reagan,
implemented fresh after inauguration. As he did then, Bush
marshals the same slippery logic to prop up his latest tax
plan.
Foremost among the plan’s problems is that its end—the
near-term stimulation of our economy—does not square
well with its means. As expected, there is a wide consensus
that the Bush tax plan aims to restructure the tax code permanently—not,
as it claims, to spur job creation and economic growth in
the short term.
It was only as an eleventh-hour concession to ease the plan’s
approval that the White House capped the dividend tax cut
with a four-year lifespan, rather than setting it in stone,
as a permanent change. Some charge that it is hardly a concession:
it is, after all, routine for the GOP to make an allegedly
brief cut only to renew it, decrying its expiration as a tax
increase. Then it is not only a tellingly reluctant compromise,
but also a crafty means to distort the plan’s true cost.
As a tax reform, economists from the Economic Policy Institute
charge that the dividend tax cut—the feeble centerpiece
of Bush’s entire plan—is “misdirected at
individuals rather than corporations, is overly complex, and
could be, but is not, part of a revenue-neutral tax reform
effort.” They do not bother with the so-called “double
taxation” that Bush railed against to win popular support
for the cut.
But some explanation is helpful here, if only to better
convey to the lay person the degree to which Bush’s
tax plan sinks into hypocrisy. First of all, the wealthy will
benefit disproportionately: they hold the lion’s share
of dividend-paying stocks. Second, a corporation is a distinct
entity under law, not a cash medium, meaning that taxing a
corporation is akin to taxing an individual. And finally,
were Bush sincerely devoted to righting the alleged injustice
of double taxation, he would have disallowed untaxed dividends
from corporations already sheltering their income from taxation;
instead, savvy corporations can pass on tax-free income to
the undeserving rich.
It should be suitably potent testimony when ten Nobel prize-winning
economists and 400 other economists converge in opposition
to Bush’s tax cut plan, precisely for the litany of
reasons named above.
Describing the proposed tax plan, one of the aforementioned
laureates, the prominent economist Joseph Stiglitz, said it
best: “Seldom have so few gotten so much from so many.”
The Bush plan is about as regressive as it can possibly be;
were it entirely up to Bush, it would be exactly as regressive
as it could possibly be. But Reagan’s legacy of trickle-down
trickery from the 1980’s has been long discredited:
cosseting the cosseted is bad economics. It just doesn’t
work in the real world.
Well, on second thought, that depends on who you ask. According
to Bloomberg News, while half of all taxpayers would receive
$100 or less, and two thirds $500 or less, Bush himself would
have saved $44,500 on his 2001 tax returns, and Cheney $326,555.
It works just fine for them. But for working Americans, the
only burden which the Bush plan relieves is the weight of
their wallets.
And what of the deficit into which the Bush tax plan plunges
us ever deeper? The administration confessed that the budget
deficit may reach $455 billion this year, the highest in over
a decade. But what about next year? $475 billion, they project.
Let us not forget that the 2000 budget surplus was $236 billion.
An avowed advocate of the “starve the beast” doctrine,
Bush deemed the evaporation of the surplus as “incredibly
good news.”
Good for whom? Who will suffer the long-term upshot of the
choice to cut taxes, in a time of war and mounting deficits?
Of course the draining of government surpluses means the cutback
of the “Great Society” and “New Deal”
apparatus that the Bush administration so often derides as
wasteful: Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid. Put another
way, the working Americans’ safety net in times of recession
is being steadily drawn out from under them by the GOP. And
this is aside from the phenomenon of vanishing funds—from
public schools, police and fire departments, and so on—that
his tax plan and supply-side policies incur. Of course, it
matters little to Bush that the next generation will be saddled
with debt, as the country pays dearly for his plan on the
long term. For him, it’s another notch in the Republican
belt.
The next President—Bush undeposed? Heaven forfend!—has
at his disposal a broad array of reasons favoring the categorical
repeal of Bush’s tax cuts. In sum, the tax cuts are
indefensible, on moral and economic terms, as the foregoing
demonstrates. Working Americans, the men and women who enable
the healthy operation of our country at the elemental level,
deserve—at least—as much attention from our government
as the wealthy.
Still there are those so immodest and obstinate that they
attempt to defend the indefensible, contra ten Nobel
laureates, firing the incendiary rhetoric of “class
warfare” at critics of Bush’s tax plan. Predictably,
this rhetoric is fueled less by logic and empirical proof
than by self-serving myths; crying “class warfare”
provides a simple way to sidestep authentic argument—an
escape route for Republicans.
Next time Bush and his brazen GOP apparatchiks hawk their
faux-Keynesian snake oil, defer your sigh of relief, and reflect
on the same question that our leaders consistently neglect:
Is this the best thing for America as a whole, for the long
term? If so, by all means, sigh away. If not, voice your dissent
with all the fiery vigor it deserves, acting likewise at the
ballot box. |